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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+2.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+0.40vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.56+0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.22-2.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 18.2% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Teddy Martin | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 6.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 20.9% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Mats Braaten | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.6% | 29.6% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 41.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 20.1% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.