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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37+2.84vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.56+0.57vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.09+0.35vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.40-1.26vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.52-0.87vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.63-0.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94+0.19vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.45-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3712.4%1st Place
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2.57SUNY Maritime College0.5629.9%1st Place
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3.35Columbia University0.0916.9%1st Place
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2.74Webb Institute0.4025.2%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.5210.3%1st Place
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5.63Stevens Institute of Technology-1.633.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
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6.55Hamilton College-1.451.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Totino | 12.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Cunha | 29.9% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 16.9% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Woods | 25.2% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Musso | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Luke Saletta | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 10.3% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 22.9% | 58.6% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 36.4% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.