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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis2.13+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+1.32vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay2.30-0.48vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.32+2.71vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.74-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.83vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.71-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.66-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.12-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Stanford University3.080.2%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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4.52California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
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8.71California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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3.49Santa Clara University2.740.2%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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8.01California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Davis0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 24.3% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cody Shevitz | 14.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Schoch | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 27.4% |
| Samuel Harrison | 19.9% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 7.9% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| Gregory Hodges | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| Christopher Hagerman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.