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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+9.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+1.36vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.70+4.22vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-0.85vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-2.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.47vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.26-0.30vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-5.02vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-4.70vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-6.92vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-5.35vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Stanford University3.3027.9%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania1.778.1%1st Place
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12.68Fordham University0.711.6%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.098.8%1st Place
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5.82Cornell University2.389.5%1st Place
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9.57Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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12.22University of Wisconsin0.702.9%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.105.8%1st Place
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10.38Old Dominion University0.973.4%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.604.9%1st Place
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11.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.7%1st Place
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12.7North Carolina State University0.261.5%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University2.104.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Hawaii1.053.3%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College1.514.0%1st Place
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11.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.9%1st Place
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16.37University of Texas-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.9% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 7.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Young | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.