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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+6.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+4.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+6.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+3.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.25+3.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45+0.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.39-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-4.51vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-6.37vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.26-4.70vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.3Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Peter Miller | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| William Howard | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| David Hernandez | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Alex Cook | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.