← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.12+2.75vs Predicted
-
2Boston University-0.64+6.99vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.90+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.84+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.42vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.48+2.92vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.65vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-0.26-0.26vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.19-2.52vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina0.22-4.15vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-0.87-1.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-2.33+0.67vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.13vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina-1.80-2.48vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University-0.87-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75North Carolina State University1.1220.9%1st Place
-
8.99Boston University-0.642.2%1st Place
-
3.9University of South Florida0.9018.9%1st Place
-
4.54Jacksonville University0.8414.0%1st Place
-
5.42University of California at Los Angeles0.5210.4%1st Place
-
8.92North Carolina State University-0.482.6%1st Place
-
9.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
-
7.74University of Michigan-0.264.5%1st Place
-
6.48The Citadel0.197.2%1st Place
-
5.85University of North Carolina0.228.6%1st Place
-
12.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.1%1st Place
-
10.43Embry-Riddle University-0.871.9%1st Place
-
13.67University of Central Florida-2.330.8%1st Place
-
11.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.4%1st Place
-
12.52University of South Carolina-1.800.5%1st Place
-
9.8Christopher Newport University-0.872.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 40.6% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 17.6% |
| Walter Roou | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.