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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+5.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+7.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+3.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.97+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.14+7.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.64-2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.31-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-1.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-5.32vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.74-6.84vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.14-5.71vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.81-5.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.89Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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4.08Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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8.92Brown University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Clark Morris | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 27.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.4% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Savannah Young | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Meara Conley | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.