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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+6.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+6.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+7.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+4.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.81+2.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.64-5.91vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-2.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14+0.11vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.31-5.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-5.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.97-6.00vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.14-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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4.09Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.11University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.83Brown University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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10.0Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Meara Conley | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 28.3% |
| Savannah Young | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.