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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+10.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.31+6.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+4.86vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.97+6.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64-0.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+1.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.74-0.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.14+1.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+2.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-4.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.81-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38-4.55vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-7.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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8.63Brown University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.06Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.06Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Demand | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Savannah Young | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 21.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 25.9% |
| Clark Morris | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Meara Conley | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| Joey Richardson | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.