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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+7.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.81+6.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.14+8.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+2.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+3.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74-1.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-0.51vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.31-1.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.14-3.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.93-7.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-5.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-8.12vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.97-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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4.12Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.78Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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10.36Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.3% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 28.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Flores | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ella Demand | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Savannah Young | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Meara Conley | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Clark Morris | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.