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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+8.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+3.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+1.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+4.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+1.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-2.98vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+2.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.81-1.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.14-4.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.38-6.37vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.74-8.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.31-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.19Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.24University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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9.74Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.06Brown University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Clark Morris | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.2% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Ella Demand | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| Jack Flores | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 32.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Savannah Young | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.