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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+6.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.31+6.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+6.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+6.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.38+2.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.97+3.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.81+2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.64-6.61vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-3.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.91vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-6.73vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-1.83vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.93-9.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.14-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.83Brown University1.310.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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10.29Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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4.39Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.71Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Savannah Young | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Ella Demand | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 15.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.7% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Meara Conley | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Jack Flores | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 29.5% |
| Clark Morris | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.