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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15+2.79vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.18vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46-1.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.62-0.66vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-4.02-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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1.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.4%1st Place
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1.6Columbia University-0.460.5%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Military Academy-2.620.1%1st Place
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4.45Webb Institute-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Feves | 3.5% | 6.0% | 24.1% | 40.8% | 25.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 37.3% | 46.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Chase O'Malley | 52.6% | 36.0% | 9.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Gustavus Hankinson | 5.6% | 9.1% | 41.0% | 34.3% | 10.0% |
| Ty Mazzga | 1.0% | 2.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.