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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+6.82vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+3.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+6.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.64+1.72vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.26-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90-6.03vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.84-6.53vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.87-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.33+0.84vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.87-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-3.07vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-1.80-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79North Carolina State University1.1218.2%1st Place
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8.82North Carolina State University-0.482.9%1st Place
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6.65The Citadel0.196.3%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles0.5210.7%1st Place
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5.99University of North Carolina0.227.9%1st Place
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12.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University-0.643.6%1st Place
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9.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.7%1st Place
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7.72University of Michigan-0.264.7%1st Place
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3.97University of South Florida0.9018.4%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University0.8415.6%1st Place
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9.74Christopher Newport University-0.872.9%1st Place
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13.84University of Central Florida-2.330.5%1st Place
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10.39Embry-Riddle University-0.871.9%1st Place
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11.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.5%1st Place
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12.47University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 18.2% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Connelly | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| William Mullray | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.4% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 41.5% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.