Race 15B

hatch-brown

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Dellenbaugh 3.8% 5.6% 5.5% 5.2% 6.4% 5.7% 5.3% 5.7% 6.1% 5.4% 5.8% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 7.9% 8.2%
Matthew Wefer 8.6% 9.9% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 6.0% 8.0% 6.6% 6.6% 5.6% 5.3% 5.4% 4.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7%
Cam Cullman 7.7% 5.8% 7.8% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 6.4% 6.4% 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 3.0%
David Hernandez 4.8% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 5.1% 6.4% 5.6% 6.7% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 5.4% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 5.6%
Andrew Sommer 6.8% 7.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.9% 8.6% 5.3% 7.5% 5.9% 6.5% 6.0% 6.0% 4.8% 4.5% 2.9%
Fletcher Sims 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 6.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 5.9% 5.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.1% 2.5%
Zeke Horowitz 8.6% 7.1% 6.8% 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.4% 5.6% 6.7% 7.0% 5.1% 6.2% 3.5% 2.9%
Emily Lambert 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.6% 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 5.2% 5.5%
Sean Bouchard 11.3% 11.3% 10.1% 9.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 4.5% 5.0% 3.4% 3.1% 1.3% 2.2% 1.3%
Peter Miller 4.5% 5.0% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 4.0% 6.0% 5.6% 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.8%
William Howard 4.9% 3.8% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 7.0% 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 11.7% 14.3%
Massimo Soriano 6.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 5.1% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 6.3% 5.8%
Matt Johnson 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.2% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 11.7%
Alex Cook 7.7% 6.5% 7.8% 6.4% 8.8% 7.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.7%
Mackenzie Spencer 4.6% 3.7% 3.8% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 11.1% 9.0%
Andrew Mason 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.5% 5.6% 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.