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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-1.03+0.66vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.87-0.47vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-2.38-0.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4Columbia University0.630.7%1st Place
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2.66SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.53Webb Institute-0.870.2%1st Place
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3.88Stevens Institute of Technology-2.380.0%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 68.4% | 24.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 12.1% | 31.3% | 37.5% | 16.9% | 2.2% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 15.4% | 35.3% | 32.0% | 15.5% | 1.8% |
| Yang Yi Zheng | 3.0% | 6.9% | 16.5% | 46.0% | 27.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 1.1% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.