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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+5.65vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+1.88vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.64+5.85vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+5.47vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+7.58vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.48+2.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90-3.05vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-3.39vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.87+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-4.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.52-5.71vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.26-4.20vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.87-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.97vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-2.75vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-2.33-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65The Citadel0.197.0%1st Place
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3.88North Carolina State University1.1219.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University-0.643.5%1st Place
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9.47Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.7%1st Place
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12.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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8.87North Carolina State University-0.483.4%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida0.9018.9%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University0.8413.6%1st Place
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9.78Christopher Newport University-0.872.3%1st Place
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5.96University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Los Angeles0.5210.8%1st Place
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7.8University of Michigan-0.264.0%1st Place
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10.25Embry-Riddle University-0.872.5%1st Place
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12.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.2%1st Place
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12.25University of South Carolina-1.801.2%1st Place
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13.79University of Central Florida-2.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 19.1% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Connelly | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.