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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+8.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+5.58vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+3.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+3.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.26+4.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.72vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44+1.41vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.25vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-2.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.72vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-4.49vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-3.84vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-7.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.39-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.2Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 15.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| William Howard | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.