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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+4.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+2.34vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+4.94vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+0.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.59+4.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.43-2.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-2.55vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.99vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-6.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-2.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.32-3.15vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.3Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 20.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.