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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+2.94vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+1.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.64+5.80vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+2.62vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.48+3.96vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+3.56vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-2.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+3.56vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-4.00vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.26-3.32vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.87-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.93vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.87-4.14vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-2.59vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-2.33-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of South Florida0.9018.1%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University1.1219.4%1st Place
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8.8Boston University-0.643.5%1st Place
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6.62The Citadel0.196.7%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University-0.483.1%1st Place
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9.56Florida Institute of Technology-0.883.0%1st Place
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4.56Jacksonville University0.8414.2%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Los Angeles0.5211.3%1st Place
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12.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.9%1st Place
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6.0University of North Carolina0.228.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Michigan-0.264.1%1st Place
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10.35Embry-Riddle University-0.872.1%1st Place
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12.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.6%1st Place
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9.86Christopher Newport University-0.872.3%1st Place
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12.41University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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13.62University of Central Florida-2.330.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 18.1% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 19.4% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| William Mullray | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Noah Jost | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% |
| Walter Roou | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.