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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+4.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+6.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.16+6.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03+5.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.80vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+1.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+0.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-2.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.77+1.88vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.05-3.32vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.33-5.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.82vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.43-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ian Towill | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| John Renehan | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.9% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 38.6% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Olt | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.