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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+6.94vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+7.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.27+8.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-0.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00+1.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.42-1.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-2.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.56vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-2.47vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.72-7.49vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.38-7.08vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.66-1.70vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.05-7.49vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.25Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.3Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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16.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 31.1% | 12.9% |
| John Eastman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.