← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+8.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.44+5.95vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.75+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.86+5.93vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.45vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.45+1.66vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.03-1.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.10+0.97vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.05-0.44vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.27+1.36vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.42-3.86vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.00-3.72vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.69-3.57vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.38-7.08vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.66-1.71vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College2.72-10.12vs Predicted
-
18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.95Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.74Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.93Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.66Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.56Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
12.36University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.14Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
-
9.28Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
10.43Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
14.29Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
-
6.88Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
16.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 5.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 30.6% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 11.1% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.