Race 2C

hatch-brown-2024

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Emma Cowles 14.6% 12.8% 9.3% 9.9% 10.1% 7.8% 7.5% 6.8% 6.1% 4.1% 3.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.4% 6.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.3% 4.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 7.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 8.8% 6.7% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 2.1%
Luke Zylinski 4.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 5.6% 5.3% 7.9% 10.1% 6.8% 6.4% 7.9%
Ethan Danielson 2.6% 3.6% 5.5% 3.4% 4.7% 4.0% 5.3% 4.9% 4.8% 7.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7%
Blake Behrens 12.5% 13.9% 10.5% 12.4% 9.9% 8.0% 6.4% 6.5% 6.0% 5.2% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Roman 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 4.6% 4.9% 7.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.7% 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 6.7% 5.6% 4.8% 5.6% 2.7%
Chase Decker 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 7.2% 9.0% 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
William Kulas 3.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 6.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 6.9% 6.6% 5.0%
Cordelia Burn 7.4% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 5.5% 4.6% 6.5% 5.3% 4.4% 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0%
Shea Smith 5.1% 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 6.8% 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 6.2% 8.8% 6.9% 5.2%
Porter Bell 3.0% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 5.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 6.6% 6.9% 9.3% 7.0% 11.0% 8.9%
William Hurd 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 1.8% 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 10.6% 12.5% 20.1%
Henry Lee 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4%
Lucy Brock 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 5.1% 5.0% 5.8% 6.8% 7.6% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 5.5% 4.2%
Ethan Burt 2.6% 0.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 8.2% 6.8% 7.7% 8.9% 13.4% 18.9%
Sam Monaghan 2.7% 3.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 4.4% 6.7% 4.5% 6.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.