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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+7.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+7.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+7.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.11+0.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+3.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.77vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-0.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-0.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.43-0.16vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-5.16vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-7.67vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-5.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.43Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Ian Towill | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| David Alfonso | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Olt | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.