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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+1.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+1.42vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.59vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.87+2.78vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.48+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+3.47vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.26-4.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.64-4.36vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.87-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-2.68vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-2.33-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82North Carolina State University1.1219.1%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida0.9017.1%1st Place
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4.42Jacksonville University0.8416.4%1st Place
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6.72The Citadel0.196.6%1st Place
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5.98University of North Carolina0.228.5%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles0.5211.0%1st Place
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9.78Christopher Newport University-0.872.8%1st Place
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9.08North Carolina State University-0.483.2%1st Place
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12.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
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9.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
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11.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Michigan-0.264.2%1st Place
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8.64Boston University-0.643.2%1st Place
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10.41Embry-Riddle University-0.872.2%1st Place
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12.32University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Central Florida-2.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 19.1% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 17.7% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.