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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.43vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+5.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.00vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.60+6.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91+3.60vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+2.50vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68+2.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.26-0.82vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.57+0.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-4.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.90-3.41vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-8.76vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.01-5.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.23-3.86vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.24Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.14Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Porter Bell | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Chase Decker | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| William Kulas | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Shea Smith | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.