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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+6.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.59vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+1.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.49vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.23+5.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57+2.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01+0.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-2.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-1.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.90-2.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.91-4.40vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.59-8.27vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.22-3.90vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.68-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.2Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.81Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Jack Roman | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| William Kulas | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Shea Smith | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Porter Bell | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% |
| Chase Decker | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.