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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.86vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.22-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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2.26Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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4.42SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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3.87Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 24.2% | 26.1% | 23.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| James Kopack | 12.6% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 13.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 37.2% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 36.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 25.7% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.2% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.