← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.35+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.65vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.22+0.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.36vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.49vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
-
3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
3.82Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
-
2.64University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
-
4.51SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 35.6% | 26.2% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| James Kopack | 12.1% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 15.2% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.6% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 18.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 25.8% | 24.7% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 38.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 23.6% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.