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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.87vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.26+3.84vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.46+1.75vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.87+2.91vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.48+0.33vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.64-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.26vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.86-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-2.33+0.43vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-4.91vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.52-7.07vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87North Carolina State University1.1219.6%1st Place
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4.6Jacksonville University0.8413.5%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.5210.2%1st Place
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7.84University of Michigan-0.265.8%1st Place
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6.57The Citadel0.197.4%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida0.9018.4%1st Place
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8.75University of North Carolina-0.463.5%1st Place
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10.91Embry-Riddle University-0.872.2%1st Place
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9.33North Carolina State University-0.483.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University-0.643.8%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.6%1st Place
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11.75University of Florida-0.861.8%1st Place
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13.21University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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14.43University of Central Florida-2.330.7%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
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8.93Christopher Newport University-0.524.2%1st Place
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12.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 19.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.4% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Ava Moring | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 41.1% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.