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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.36vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+6.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.88vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+2.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-0.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.55+1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.43+0.92vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.03-2.43vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-6.68vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.77+0.02vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.11-9.43vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-6.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.46Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.78Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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14.02University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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5.57College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| John Renehan | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Drew Shea | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Alex Olt | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% |
| Ian Towill | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| William Bailey | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 38.3% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.