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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.66vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.22-0.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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2.26Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.82Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.46SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 11.1% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 15.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 27.6% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 35.8% | 27.5% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 22.2% | 17.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.