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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.71vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.22+1.76vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.34vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.76Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
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2.26Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.54SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 24.1% | 26.6% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 17.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 37.5% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| James Kopack | 12.4% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 14.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 22.3% | 37.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 23.4% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.