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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.98vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.22+0.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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3.82Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.54SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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2.33Fordham University2.350.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 26.5% | 24.7% | 21.5% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 22.5% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 17.6% |
| James Kopack | 12.6% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 14.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 39.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 34.6% | 25.6% | 20.4% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.