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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+1.32vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.22vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.22-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.84Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 35.5% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| James Kopack | 12.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 35.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 24.3% | 25.1% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.1% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.