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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.22-0.19vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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2.26Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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3.81Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.53SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 24.0% | 26.1% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| James Kopack | 12.4% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 14.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 37.6% | 24.5% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.3% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 17.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 37.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.