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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.67vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.40vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.22-0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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2.29Fordham University2.350.4%1st Place
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2.6University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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3.84Cornell University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Maritime College0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 11.3% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 36.4% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 27.7% | 24.2% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 23.0% | 17.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 26.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.