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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.55+10.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+4.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+1.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+1.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.45vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.11-4.50vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.33-2.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.03-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43-1.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.10vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-5.91vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-9.86vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.19University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.09Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.72Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.5College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Pelissier | 4.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| William Bailey | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| David Alfonso | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| John Renehan | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Drew Shea | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Eichler | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Ian Towill | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Alex Olt | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.