← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.12+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.84+2.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Florida-0.86+8.61vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.19+2.58vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.90-1.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Central Florida-2.33+8.49vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.46+1.78vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.48+1.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-0.26-0.98vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.89vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.98vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-6.49vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.87-2.32vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.72vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-0.64-5.67vs Predicted
-
16University of South Carolina-1.80-2.94vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87North Carolina State University1.1218.2%1st Place
-
4.55Jacksonville University0.8414.3%1st Place
-
11.61University of Florida-0.861.8%1st Place
-
6.58The Citadel0.198.0%1st Place
-
3.9University of South Florida0.9018.8%1st Place
-
14.49University of Central Florida-2.330.7%1st Place
-
8.78University of North Carolina-0.463.2%1st Place
-
9.39North Carolina State University-0.483.1%1st Place
-
8.02University of Michigan-0.264.6%1st Place
-
9.11Christopher Newport University-0.522.9%1st Place
-
10.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.6%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Los Angeles0.5211.8%1st Place
-
10.68Embry-Riddle University-0.872.1%1st Place
-
11.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.1%1st Place
-
9.33Boston University-0.643.5%1st Place
-
13.06University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
-
12.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 18.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 42.4% |
| May Proctor | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| William Mullray | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Connelly | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.