← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.15+1.30vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University-0.35+0.50vs Predicted
-
3Washington College-0.87+0.23vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.57+0.20vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-3.79+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-2.54-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.3Princeton University-0.150.4%1st Place
-
2.5George Washington University-0.350.3%1st Place
-
3.23Washington College-0.870.2%1st Place
-
4.2University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
-
3.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
-
6.53Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
-
5.28Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advik Eswaran | 36.3% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Schuhwerk | 28.3% | 26.8% | 23.0% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 15.7% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 26.4% | 19.2% | 3.8% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 21.2% | 24.7% | 14.3% | 3.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 13.0% | 75.7% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 43.6% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.