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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University-0.35+1.58vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+1.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+0.18vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-3.79+1.55vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.15-3.67vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.54-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58George Washington University-0.350.3%1st Place
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3.07Washington College-0.800.2%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
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6.55Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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2.33Princeton University-0.150.3%1st Place
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5.28Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Schuhwerk | 27.1% | 26.9% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Imogene Nuss | 18.5% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 9.5% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 23.5% | 24.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 27.9% | 17.5% | 3.7% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 75.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 33.6% | 27.8% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 44.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.