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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+1.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80+2.89vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-1.26-0.39vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-2.34+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.02-1.25vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-0.48vs Predicted
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7Washington College-2.89-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Princeton University-0.870.4%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.1%1st Place
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2.61George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.21Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.52Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.86Washington College-2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 40.6% | 26.8% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Finnegan McCue | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Colin Bohula | 25.8% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 10.6% |
| Seton Dill | 10.1% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 41.1% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.