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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+1.16vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-1.26+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.02+0.73vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-3.23+1.56vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.89+0.05vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.34-1.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Princeton University-0.870.4%1st Place
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2.58George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.56Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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5.05Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.17Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 40.9% | 26.5% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Bohula | 26.0% | 28.7% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Seton Dill | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Julia Marich | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 23.3% | 39.3% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 25.3% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 9.9% |
| Finnegan McCue | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.