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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+0.86vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-1.26+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.96+1.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.00vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.89-0.79vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Princeton University-0.870.5%1st Place
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2.19George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Delaware-2.960.1%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.1%1st Place
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4.21Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.55Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 45.1% | 33.0% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Colin Bohula | 33.4% | 32.3% | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 25.0% | 22.9% |
| Finnegan McCue | 6.4% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 23.5% | 17.2% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 4.9% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 21.5% | 24.3% | 23.6% |
| Julia Marich | 3.8% | 5.6% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.