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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.96+2.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-1.26-0.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80+0.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.89-0.76vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Princeton University-0.870.5%1st Place
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4.17University of Delaware-2.960.1%1st Place
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2.16George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.1%1st Place
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4.24Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.58Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 46.4% | 32.6% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brendan van Riper | 5.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 25.6% | 21.6% |
| Colin Bohula | 33.0% | 33.7% | 21.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Finnegan McCue | 7.7% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 24.8% | 23.9% | 17.4% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 4.3% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 24.5% |
| Julia Marich | 3.5% | 5.4% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.