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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+1.17vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-1.26+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.02+0.73vs Predicted
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4Washington College-2.89+1.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80-0.07vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-0.51vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.34-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Princeton University-0.870.4%1st Place
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2.56George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.08Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.49Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.04Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 40.3% | 26.7% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Bohula | 26.5% | 28.4% | 22.1% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Seton Dill | 10.9% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
| Finnegan McCue | 4.6% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 38.1% |
| Karolina Debniak | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.