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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.02+1.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-1.26-0.41vs Predicted
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4Washington College-2.89+1.08vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.34-0.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80-1.14vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.23-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Princeton University-0.870.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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2.59George Washington University-1.260.3%1st Place
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5.08Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.24Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.1%1st Place
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5.38Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 40.2% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Seton Dill | 11.4% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Colin Bohula | 26.5% | 27.8% | 22.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 24.3% | 25.4% |
| Karolina Debniak | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| Finnegan McCue | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 21.2% |
| Julia Marich | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 22.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.