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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.44vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+0.54vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+1.65vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.86+4.76vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.64+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.26-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.16vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.87-0.99vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-2.95vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.48-4.72vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80-1.80vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-3.18vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-2.33-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76North Carolina State University1.1220.3%1st Place
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4.01University of South Florida0.9016.6%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Los Angeles0.5210.8%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University0.8414.9%1st Place
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6.65The Citadel0.197.8%1st Place
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8.97Christopher Newport University-0.523.4%1st Place
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11.76University of Florida-0.861.4%1st Place
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9.09Boston University-0.643.7%1st Place
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8.81University of North Carolina-0.463.9%1st Place
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8.0University of Michigan-0.264.7%1st Place
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11.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.9%1st Place
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11.01Embry-Riddle University-0.871.9%1st Place
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10.05Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.7%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University-0.483.2%1st Place
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13.2University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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12.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.4%1st Place
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14.46University of Central Florida-2.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 20.3% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 16.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Moring | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| May Proctor | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Chidester | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| William Mullray | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.