← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.92+5.06vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.05+7.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.55+8.41vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.95+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.91vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.50+1.93vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.33+0.23vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.16+0.36vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.18-1.10vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.11-5.33vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.03-2.41vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.56-5.33vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.43-1.99vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.55-7.45vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota1.77-2.03vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.06Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.49Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
6.15Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.23Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.36Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.9Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
5.67College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
9.59Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
7.67Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.55Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
13.97University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
-
12.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| John Renehan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Olt | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 38.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.