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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.87+1.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.03-0.52vs Predicted
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3Washington College-2.89+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.96+0.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80-0.78vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Princeton University-0.870.3%1st Place
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1.48George Washington University-0.030.6%1st Place
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4.19Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.64Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 25.8% | 46.2% | 19.0% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ian Milko | 63.1% | 27.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 3.7% | 7.2% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 24.3% | 20.5% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.7% | 7.0% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 27.3% | 22.0% |
| Finnegan McCue | 2.5% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Julia Marich | 2.2% | 4.1% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.