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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University-0.03+0.58vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.87+0.26vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-3.23+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.80+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.96-0.06vs Predicted
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6Washington College-2.89-1.20vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.71-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58George Washington University-0.030.6%1st Place
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2.26Princeton University-0.870.2%1st Place
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5.25Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.8Washington College-2.890.0%1st Place
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4.43Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Milko | 60.0% | 26.3% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 24.4% | 42.8% | 20.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Marich | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 30.8% |
| Finnegan McCue | 1.8% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 15.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 3.1% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 3.5% | 5.0% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Emily Amspacher | 4.6% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.