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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+1.21vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.09+1.41vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.58+1.09vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81-1.68vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.09-1.59vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.53-2.98vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Christopher Newport University0.850.4%1st Place
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3.41Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.32Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.41Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.21American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.74Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 37.2% | 28.6% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 12.4% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 27.8% | 16.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 31.7% | 28.5% | 21.8% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 12.4% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 48.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 8.6% | 85.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.