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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.53+2.97vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+2.08vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85-0.78vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81-1.67vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.09-1.52vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.80vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.09-3.52vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.22Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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2.33Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.2American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 27.6% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 34.6% | 30.2% | 19.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 33.7% | 26.8% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 12.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 49.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 12.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 85.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.