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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+1.27vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.09+1.41vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85-0.78vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.53-0.95vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.58-1.94vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.09-3.59vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.41Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.22Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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5.23American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.41Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.75Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 33.8% | 30.5% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 13.1% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 34.7% | 30.3% | 19.5% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 47.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 8.1% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 13.1% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 8.1% | 86.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.