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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+1.22vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+0.27vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.09+0.46vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+1.23vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-0.90vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.09-2.54vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.53-3.01vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Christopher Newport University0.850.4%1st Place
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2.27Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.46Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.23American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.1William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.46Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 37.4% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 32.6% | 31.1% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 11.9% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 47.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 26.0% | 18.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 11.9% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 8.3% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 26.7% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 85.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.