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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+2.31vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+0.26vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+0.31vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.09vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-2.64vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.64+0.78vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.26Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.31Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.36Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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6.78Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
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5.21American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 16.0% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 33.1% | 29.9% | 21.6% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 16.0% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 26.3% | 18.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 31.3% | 28.0% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 86.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 48.4% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 27.7% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.