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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+1.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+1.32vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58+0.11vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-0.91vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.82vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.85-4.72vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.32Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.32Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.18American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.28Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 33.0% | 29.8% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 13.4% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 13.4% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.1% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 26.8% | 17.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 47.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 34.6% | 27.2% | 21.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 8.4% | 85.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.