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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+2.30vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+0.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85-0.77vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.58-0.89vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.58-1.88vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-1.79vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.3Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.23Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.3Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.12William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.21American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.73Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 15.4% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 32.4% | 28.9% | 22.3% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 34.6% | 29.7% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 15.4% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.1% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 29.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 25.3% | 17.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 49.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 85.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.